The inflection point of Chinese lipstick benefit, predict to be able to come ahead of schedule 201the best spring pool5 yesterdbrass faucet aerator ay, group of center of members of standing committee of municipal Party committee (exfree modern dining chairspand) hold " construction of our country's current the people's livelihood and masses job " special subject seminar, li Peilin of assistant dean of expert of give a lecture, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences divulged this forecasts a result.
He points out, as the arrival of this one turning point, our country hires difficult, provide for the aged to wait for problem general hard more protruding shows, we must clutch research adjusts social security system to wait, answer population structure to be challenged a series of new issues that rapid change brings, newly better.
Population structure 40 years a great change
"Pyramid " whole happening inverse
1990 when the 4th census of countrywide, population structure is the pyramid form of a standard. Subsequently 20 years, population structure produced tremendous change. To 2010 when the vancouver to harrison hot springs6th census of countrywide, population structure already became top entity. Call this paragraph of period on demography " population bonus period " , this period is whole social responsibility is lighter, labour force population is increasinthe most popular norton internet antivirusg, we have ample labor supply, OK and fast production, reduce cost, the product is competitive, development is rapid also.
brass faucet"But bonus of this one population comes quickly, go quickly. " Li Peilin says, experts are in the 6th times on the foundation of census result, increase the speculation after all sorts of parameter undertake science is calculated, to 2030, of our country population pyramid structure comes over whole contrary to reason or one's expectation almost.
Domestic structure becomes
"Person of majority ofwatch case opener support of small number of people "
As the contrary to reason or one's expectation of population structure, domestic structure also wants contrary to reason or one's expectation to come over almost. Li Peilin analysis says, now generation singleton female had married to bear, two singletons female combination and become domestic state is: They two life a child, 4 father mother is above, if active birth policy is not changed, when the child that means them to be born crosses just a little 10 years to marry again, the grandfather grandma of twice is above 4 father mother.
Li Peilin points out, the mode of acting border provide for the aged that basically executes since China is long-term in the past, because happened " small number of people of most person provide for " arrive " person of majority of support of small number of people " change, the front is faced change.
Seasonal it is difficult to hire
The likelihood is the foreboding of long-term sex
Li Peilin discloses, when the 5th census of countrywide, forecast population inflection point to appeared 2030, new now forecast data to had shifted to an earlier date greatly 2015.
His analysis says, around this turning point, can produce two big metabolic labor shortage and old age to bring up than rising quickly.
Respect of labor supply and demand, labour force year increment drops year after year, final trend enjoys growth. Li Peilin thinks, appei want modern dining chairsar currently it is difficult to hire not be short-term sex, seasonal, it may be the foreboding of long-term sex.
Old people mouth is bharrison hotnorth face shirts spring public poolrought up than fast ascendant respect, also can bring profound change, form to composition of our service, family, community, urban and rural difference bring more test.
SenileBring up than
Substantival explanation
Old age is brought up than, the old age in pointing to population of age of working of population Central Africa is opposite partly oharrison hot spring dealf working age population than, in order to shows population of age of every 100 working wants a responsibility how many old people. Old people mouth is brought up comparing is one of index that reflect consequence of society of aging of population from economic angle. Also call the aged population to bring up coefficient, coefficient of abbreviation old age. (Chinese net - daily of the Yangtse River)
