If ● arrives we were mixed from economic dimensions 2020 two respects all achieve economic structure the socioeconomy of comprehensive well-off develops a target, realized our country economy basically to wait for income from which namely to good-paying span. Accordingly, to 2020 this one period is the critical stage that our country builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society.
● 2020 around, it is the critical stage that our country builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society not only, also be the mechanism of socialist market economy with our country relatively perfect building at the same time tackle key problem period.
● whether implementation builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society this one target, depend on the change that develops way, for the way that grows from economy, important is whether implementation throws a quantity to expand by main support element pull move growth change to be efficiency of main support element and complete element efficiency to rise pull move growth.
Liu Wei accepted Beijing University vice-president a few days ago " economic reference signs up for " express when reporter special interview, current China has entered medium income to transfer to good-paying level, economy is faced with span successfully and be immersed in backwater two kinds likelihood. Below this one setting, the 18 put forward to want to build comprehensive and comparatively well-off society to 2020 greatly targets of the party. Summary world each country or the experience that income trap waits for in income level waits in can spanning or be immersed in reach a lesson, whether implementation spans prime cause depends on namely whether the historical change that implements development means, and the primary motivation that urges development manner change depends on relying on innovation drive. It is technical innovation above all, but the system is its premise. Level shows in our country, the historical connotation that the system innovates is bred through deepening reform namely and perfect system of socialist market economy, reform is the primary motivation that means of development of implementation our country transforms.
Our country economy is faced with two kinds likelihood
Liu Wei says, since passing new period, reform of nearly 34 years develops, our country economy came true year all 9.8% right-and-left growth, press changeless price to calculate, to 2012 gross of end G D P has achieved 24 times at the beginning of new period, by active price computation achieves 51.93 -727379968 yuan, by 3 years convert of average exchange rate achieves above of 8the best selling north face shirts trillion dollar, occupy proportion of global G D P to amount to 10% above. G D P of average per capita came true year all 8.75% right-and-left growth, to 2012 by changeless price computation end will achieve the growth at the beginning of new period nearly 17.35 times, by active price computation exceeds 38 thousand yuan, by 3 years convert of average exchange rate achieves 5800 dollars above, become income country waits in going up, income waits to transfer to good-paying in entering level.
The economy of this one phase is faced with two kinds likelihood, it is the implementation in the period that growing by income waits in going up to good-paying phase span, according to the data that world bank publishs, contemporary world arrives 2011, the nation that reachs level of good-paying of 12476 dollars above by national income of average per capita of calculative of exchange rate law or area share 70, comparative among them one part country and area are to going up before century of Xie Heben of century second half 10 years to passed growth of high speed economy to come true by income waits in going up to good-paying phase span.
2 it is backwater in medium income level, economy cannot come true can develop continuously, namely alleged be immersed in " medium income trap " , on such as history " Latin America eddy " , " East Asia bubble " and current " crisis of middle east North Africa " wait. 2011 end, the medium income level that national income of average per capita reachs 4036 dollars but the country under 12476 dollars or area, namely so called income economy system waits to share 54 in going up, include our country inside, be faced with these two kinds are likely.
north face shirtsLiu Wei expresses, although to " medium income " have different knowledge, be still differentiate to differ according to having with serving as relative to the level with absolute level view, but include " medium income " , " good-paying " , " modern " the category that etc is the history, it is the level that in showing in certain history phase photogenic each other is compared, reachs, not be to isolate sheer number is reflected, outside delimiting cent develops level to divide the relativity that considers development of this kind of history, important still depend on considering level of G D P while, want to consider the gradual progress height of economic structure.
Of the party 18 put forward greatly, build comprehensive and comparatively well-off society to 2020. Analyse according to Liu Wei, on economic dimensions, gross of implementation G D P relatively broke up one time 2010, by changeless 2010 price computation will be broken through 80 trillion, as long as year all increase rate is achieved 7.2% the left and right sides can come true; G D P of average per capita breaks up one time likewise, achieve average per capita 60 thousand multivariate, by at present exchange rate computation reachs nearly 10 thousand dollar, want gross only times add while, control of rate of natural growth of the population is some more advanced year of level under 5 ‰ can; Income of urban and rural dweller also breaks up one time, average per capita of dweller of our country town can control income 1.9 2010 more than 10000 yuan, by changeless price computation breaks up one time namely nearly 40 thousand yuan, net income of rural dweller average per capita is close 6000 yuan, by changeless price computation turns over 10 thousand yuan one time tothe most popular watch cases be 1.2 namely, want income of urban and rural dweller to add only fast add fast synchronism with G D P, at the same time urban and rural difference expands no longer at least, can come true.
On economic structure, realize the modernization of 4 respects, namely modernization of new-style industrialization, agriculture, town is changed and informatization. To 2020, press standard of contemporary international modernization, achieve industrialized goal basically, our country already entered industrialized later period to develop level quickly at present, achieving industrialized goal to 2020 is likely on development speed, the key depends on promoting a standard, advance new-style industrialization namely. On the propulsion of agricultural modernization, drop to indicate as what agricultural labor productivity rises ceaselessly with proportion of obtain employment of agricultural labour force. Proportion of obtain employment of labour force of agriculture of poor now country is in on average 72% above, our country 2011 proportion of obtain employment of agricultural labour force already anew period the 70% above at the beginning of fall to 36.7% , reached the average level of medium income country, fall to 2020 according to this speed to 20% the following medium income state is average on now the level is possible.
On the development that changes in town, town turned our country 2011 rate already anew period at the beginning of 20% rise below 51.3% , although far not as good as developed country, lag behind at world average level even, but already entered the town that says normally to change quickly period, finish basically in new-style industrialization, below the condition that agricultural modernization level promotes considerably, town changes speed to be accelerated further necessarily, achieve to 2020 65% controlling this to approach good-paying level level is a likelihood, the key depends on improving the quality that town changes, the process of made as modern as agriculture, new-style industrialization is organic and centralized.
On informatization construction, promote the contemporary service line of business that supports with contemporary IT and whole tertiary industy the proportion in national economy on industrial structure height on one hand, make with comprehensive well-off bearing of demand of social progress phase suits, should achieve 60% above at least, on the other hand more important is to raise informatization and agricultural modernization, new-style industrialization, town to change the confluence between and harmonious rate considerably. If to 2020 we are mixed from economic watch casesdimensions,two respects all achieve economic structure the socioeconomy of comprehensive well-off develops a target, realized our country economy basically to wait for income from which namely to good-paying span. Accordingly, to 2020 this one period is the critical stage that our country builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society.
The key that span depends on whether change develops way
Liu Wei thinks, whether implementation builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society this one target, the most popular selling norton internet antivirusdepend on the change that develops way, for the way that grows from economy, important is whether implemenwatch case openertation throws a quantity to expand by main support element pull move growth change to be efficiency of main support element and complete element efficiency to rise pull move growth, by main support cost is low as competitive advantage change is progress of main support technology and efficiency promotion to regard core as competition ability. For the position that expands from economy, depend on the gradual progress of economic structure importantly, what achieve economic structure namely is strategical adjust, include, the structural sex that respective interior reachs between the investment of total demand side, consumption, exit is adjusted, structure of each property interior reachs between the 3 big industries of total supply side evolve etc. Summary world each country or the experience that income trap waits for in income level waits in can spanning or be immersed in reach a lesson, whether implementation spans the free norton internet antiviruskey depends on whether the historical change that implements development means.
He says, how to urge the change that develops way, primary motivation depends on relying on innovation drive. It is technical innovation above all, include primitive, gather, absorb, introduce, draw lessons from the innovation that waits for a variety of forms, include a society to teach those who reach the manpower capital such as sanitation to accumulate, the investment of business research and development, the ceaseless promotion of own research and development and innovation ability is to realize economy to be able to develop the strategy that transforms with the structure to prop up continuously. Efficiency improves the function that is innovation, structural gradual progress is the function that efficiency improves. But, system overweight technology, all great skills innovate, perhaps say ability of social technology innovation rise, all be premise with system innovation, have vigor and emulative, have the regime arrangement of order and just sex again at the same time, it is the system foundation that promotes a technology innovation capability. Level shows in our country, the historical connotation that the system innovates is bred through deepening reform namely and perfect system of socialist market economy, reform is the primary motivation that means of development of implementation our country transforms.
Through reform of 34 years, our country came true basically already at present by the fundamental change of traditional planned economy to socialist market economy, the basic system that state ownership gives priority to the system of socialist market economy that economy of a variety of system of ownership develop system jointly already establish, market spnorton internet antivirusring poolsystem is formed produce fundamental sex effect in resource configuration, but still perfect urgently. Liu Wei says, ever predicted in talk of the make one's rounds austral Deng Xiaoping 1992, "Be afraid the time that has 30 years again, it is more mature that we just can form one a complete set of in every respect, more the system that finalize the design " . If calculate from 1992,rise, was 2022 30 years too again, just is our country builds around of comparatively well-off society in the round, from the point of the schedule of historical course, this kind more mature, more the system of socialist market economy that finalize the design will be formed basically likely. This is the fatidical photograph be identical with Deng Xiaoping.
Our country had entered the high level of reform
Look in Liu Wei, 2020 around, it is the critical stage that our country builds comprehensive and comparatively well-off society not only, also be the mechanism of socialist market economy with our country relatively perfect building at the same time tackle key problem period, in this one period, the task that itself of our country reform faces and tie also produced deep history to change.
Above all, on the choice of the core link that reforming namely on government and the correlation that the enterprise reforms, from what begin with the enterprise (state-owend enterprise) reform is core, progressively change is mixed to transform with governmental function corresponding system reform is a key;
Next, on the way that reforms in the enterprise that regards the market as main body and content, it is the main content that the enterprise reforms frothe best spring poolm initial state-owned company, and drive with governmental administration sex for fundamental pattern, progressively change mixes system of ownership for a variety of economy at the same time the enterprise reform in condition of diversity of company property right is main content, and choose to be fundamental pattern independently with enterprise marketability;
Thirdly, in as the basic content that commercializes a process namely the compose of market system is built on, build from the compose of early days include investment to taste with consumable inside commodity market melt into is basic content, progressively change is include land, capital (money) , the element market melt into such as labor, patent, environment is basic content;
Its 4, real difficult problem is commercialized to go up in processing, from the resistance that overcomes traditional planned economy hard before, extend space of market mechanism action, the made foundation that replaces a tradition to plan a mechanism to become resource to configure is main difficulty, transform gradually for in order to perfect market order, the main body order that includes socialistic market competition (company property right) , trade order (pricing system) , the order that waits inside perfects law order, morality order, namely from dimensions of patulous market action to promotion market quality (just and orderly) the change that is real difficulty;
Its 5, on the alternative that leaves reform key field as binary economy condition, from early days urban and rural develop comprehensive innovation respectively, transform gradually for urban and rural as a whole, form the unified whole of reform each other, especially this kind urban and rural and harmonious the reform process that plan as a whole, need to be commercialized with element, especially the development that the element such as land and capital and labor commercializes and perfect and mutual harmonious; Its 6, on the standard tendency that examines as reform performance, the efficiency from inside emphasizing of impoverished period increasing manufacturing field more and degree of promotion of people material standard of living are first goal, gradually while change manufactures efficiency to emphasizing, pay attention to the fairness in allocating a domain more, while people material standard of living promotes ceaselessly, pay attention to the material with higher administrative levels, richer people and cultural life requirement to wait a moment more.
Liu Wei expresses, the complex degree of the reform of these respects, not at all inferior at what what we undertake since reforming and opening each are reformed, and look from level sex, had entered the high level of reform. because such, the assault fortified positions that our country began to enter reform truly period. We have the historical demandharrison hot spring weather forecast that expands according to socioeconomy only, make clear the historical mission of reform further, innovate through deepening reform to drive an institution, promote technical innovation then, on system and the foundation that the technology innovates, those who urge economic construction upgrade, implementation develops the real change of means, those who achieve economic progress is historic span.
