2 quarters GDP brass faucetis added fast predict to will come 7.5% the left and right sides
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2 quarters GDP is added fast predict to will come 7.5% the left and right sides
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Chinese GDP is added fast drop this year to 5.5%brass faucet
Lian Ping: 2 quarters GDP is added fast consecutive fall after a rise anticipates 7.5%
IMF reduces China economic growth anticipates this year to 7.8%
In new network on July 15 report (Li Jinlei) national statistic bureau will be announced now national economy runs a condition first half of the year this year, at the appointed time, first half of the year gross domestic product (the economic data such as income and expenses of GDP) , urban and rural dweller will be announced along with all the others. Thvancouver to harrison hot springse analysis points out, accept total demand first half of the year fatigued and weak, company goes continuously reserve impact, GDP is added fast or trend of continuance be issued to lower levels, predict 2 quarters GDP is added fast will by first quarter 7.7% fall to 7.6% .
Economic data is announced now first half of the year
According to program arrangement, national statistic bureau will be announced now national economy runs a condition first half of the year this year. At the appointed time, the gross domestic product that gets attention fully (the index data such as income and expenses of total volume of retail sales of consumable of investment of development of investment of investment of production of GDP) , agriculture, industry production, fixed assets, civilian fixthe best selling modern dining chairsed assets, estate, society, urban and rural dweller will be announced along with all the others.
Current, had announced data of imports and exports is not hopeful first half of the year, accept exterior market demand low fan, exit cost rises, production of industry of hair of trade friction frequency, country harrison hot spring dealputs delay to wait for adverse element influence, imports and exports presents state of progressively fall after a rise first half of the year, impthe best spring poolorts and exports is added first quarter fast for 13.5% , 2 quarters are added fast fall for 4.3% . Among them, foreign trade was added in May fast it is only 0.3% , glided furtherfree watch case in June to negative growth 2% .
In addition, the near future announces economic data also did not calculate in June on bright look, among them, the dweller consumed price index in June (CPI) exceeds anticipate rebound to 2.7% , industrial producer price (PPI) is successive the 16th month enjoys growth, manufacturing industry purchased manager index in June (PMI) approachs vicissitude line, it is only 50.1% .
Expression not the economic data of beautiful causes the outside to be opposite of Chinese economy anxious, much home foreign capital cast travel and orgnaization to reduce Chinese economy growth to anticipate. International Monetary Fund (IMF) was reduced recently today bright two years Chinese economy growth anticipates. This orgnaization predicts China today bright two years add fast it is respectively 7.8% with 7.7% , dropped respectively than be being forecasted before this 0.3 with 0.6 percenthe best selling watch casest.
2 quarters GDP is added fast or fall to 7.6%
Chinese economy after the fourth quarter grew 9.8% 2010 successive 7 quarters drop, fall all the way 2012 the 3rd quarter the low of 7.4% , although the four seasons spent GDP to pick up 2012,come 7.9% , but fall again first quarter this year to 7.7% .
Be aimed at Chinese economy put delay, the Chinese Ministry of finance that attends Sino-US strategy and economic dialog the 5th round grows Lou Jiwei 11 days to ever expressed clearly, at present Chinese economy amplitude puts the inevitable appearance that delay is structural adjustment, chinese economy is not met " hard-land " . Up to now, the increase rate first quarter is 7.7% , the increase rate of 2 quarters will be announced later, estimation is compared 7.7% a bit lower, but won't low too much, accordingly, chinese economy " realize the growth this year to anticipate should not have how old problthe most popular north face shirtsem " .
To the GDP data that is about to release, analytic personage is forecasted, accept total demand first half of the year fatigued and weak reach an enterprise to go continuously reserve impact, GDP is added fast trend of continuance be issued to lower levels, predict 2 quarters GDP is added fast will by first quarter 7.7% fall to 7.6% .
Li Huiyong of presiding macroeconomics home represents Shen Yinmo state, be put into trouble glides at industry and foreign trade domain, 2 quarters are added fast will reduce somewhat, predict 2 quarters economy is added fast fall to 7.6% . Tsinghua university China and Li Daokui of director of world economy research center express, the low speed since Chinese economy still continues from last year first half of the year runs pattern. At present macroscopical economy low speed moves, performance of each data index is basic and smooth, but the structural sex pressure of hypostatic economy is in however increase, the GDP that predicts 2 quarters increases rate compared to the same period for 7.6% , annual is 7spring pool.8% .
Those who defend economic growth " floor level "
Be aimed at current economic situation, the partial province area that Li Kejiang of premier of Chinese the State Council held in Guangxi recently is made clear on economic situation informal discussion express, macroscopical adjusting control wants base oneself upon current, have stnorth face shirtsh in mind is long-term, make economy moves be in reasonable interval, equality of water of economic increase rate, obtain employment does not slip piece " floor level " , prices rises wait to be not exceeded " upper limit " .
Although did not appear in Li Kejiang's speech " floor level " and " upper limit " particular numerical value, but the market is unscrambled generally " floor level " and " upper limit " should mix the economy of set of place of governmental working report grows 7.5% the left and right sides, dwellers to consume the price to go up this year a control in 3.5% right-and-left anticipation the target is close to relatively.
Economy of center of international economy communication studies ministry undersecretary Zhang Yongjun points out, the government won't allow to be broken through by economy " floor level " , future is like economy to add fast glide continuously, decision-making layer can take corresponding step for certain.
"Chinese economy second half of the year will have rebound certainly, the adjustment that rebounding main basis is governmental policy comes on stage with what reform measure. " Li Daokui expresses, as second half of the year 18 3 in of plenary meeting hold, a series of reform act can be rolled out in succession, the government also can be used roll out a few build a project, especially net of urban underground canal upgrades, the project of environmental protection public spending construction that is put in demand at present will pull move economic growth.
