[introduction] June 70 big in price of urban bridal chamber has Wen Zhou to drop compared to the same period only, beijing goes up panel height is amounted to 16.7% , row the first. On July 18 at 12 o'clock, economic sound comments on: Adjusting control measure should continue to increasing the residence to supply fluctuation kongfu.
In the message occupied extensive network Beijing on July 18 economic sound " center wide finance and economics is commented on " report, although have so-called " history on 5 " control the country of " of measure of estate adjusting control of the most severe " blast, lead the whole nation that run by Beijing, Shawatch case manufacturernghai market of each big city estate still comparatives active, heat wave billow.
National statistic bureau today (18 days) issuance whole nation 70 big in data of statistic of urban house sale price shows, built commodity June the residence and secondhand residential price annulus parts than the city that rise is 63 mix 55, build commodity the residence and secondhand the city that residential price rises compared to the same period is 69 mix 68 respectively. And compared in May, 70 big in in the city, the city of bridal chamber price fall has 5, unbiased city 2, the city that rise 63. And and photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year, june, 70 big in in the city, the city of bridal chamber price fall has Wen Zhou only, the city that rise has 69. In the city that rises in price compared to the same period, go up achieve highestly 16.7% , beijing is without be concerned about row the first.
From the point of these data, go up to drop more little trend is too clear. Nevertheless, with May the whole nation 70 big in phase of data of statistic of urban house sale price is compared, still can discover little to good posture. For instance, annulus of bridal chamber price reduces two than the city that rise, dropping city increased two. But compared to the same period data still nots allow hopeful. spring pool
" center wide finance and economics is commented on " , news analyst of acoustical engage by special arrangement, Shanghai resides Yang Gongxu of estate academy assistant dean easily, will comment on this topic.
View the newest data that national statistic bureau publishs, can discover house price annulus compares the city that rise number is decreasing, the city that annulus comparing drops number is in grow in quantity. The city that annulus comparing rises number is decreasing, a what kind of trend does report give?
Yang Gongxu: Still say house price still is rising, but the impetus that go upbrass faucet puts delay somewhat, this has two evidence. The first it is the urban amount that go up reduced two, this is the change of an amount. The 2nd our statistic delay comparing goes up an average, june is 0.83% . 0.83% it is more further than was being done May last month fall after a rise, annulus comparing goes up from March after establish coping, 4, 5, 6 closed continuously March continuously narrow, this indicates room value or going up, the impetus that go up is restrained somewhat. Still going up quickly compared to the same period of course, benorton internet antiviruscause compared to the same period lag is compared at annulus, so I estimate 4 quarters, compared to the same period amplitude also interviews a bottom.
Price of house of town of a gleam of is stronger, beijing goes up compared to the same period be 16.7% , rank the first, it is dangerous that so target of house price control compares Beijing this year, what Beijing municipal government puts forward is basic stability, present go up be 16.7% affirmation cannot make stabilize, should say to rise apparently. Other a gleam of somewhat concussion, but still discharge advanced face on the whole. 3 lines city is area become divided, some dropped, for instance city of another name for Jiangxi Province, cottage city, Urumqi, Guiyang. Some are to go up, go up more apparent still, like Yue Yang, south fill etc.
adjusting control policy is act well in 23 cities, and smaller to the action of city of north face shirtsa gleam of?
Yang Gongxu: Still cannot so say, because of house price go up situation the effect that suffers awatch case opener lot of elements and restrict, adjusting control is not actually big to influence of 34 lines city, because be restricted to buy policy,basically be concentration in 35 big in city, general 34 lines city has not announced house price to dominate an end, also not was restricted to buy, the price rises now small, even some of place begins fall after a risei want modern dining chairs, because they suffer supply demand relations to affect,basically be, these areas because land is not rare be short of, building supply slants big, bring about house price to go up slant small begin to drop even.
This adjusting control basically is aimed at city of a gleam of, second line, at present of price of house of town of line of just a little go up situation put delay, but supply demand relations does not have very good changeover, still be major city or the circumstance that demand exceeds supply, so, want supply demand relations to did not produce big improvement only, the house price of these cities still can maintain rise posture.
Somebody can'ts help shouting, "House price, ask you to go up bit slower " , why before all adjusting control policy to house price, be inferior to solving means of supply and demand to come thoroughly?
Yang Gongxu: Tell substantially from the commodity of the house, direct element is told still is supply demand relations, demand exceethe best selling modern dining chairsds supply it can go up, this is supply demand relations of a market, adjusting control policy also is to pass change supply demand relations commonly, then depress house price, for instance constrictive 2 flatlet are borrowed, be restricted to buy even if controlling demand, resemble direct price fixing of Beijing, Guangzhou, building dish price lithe best spring poolmitation is inside what area, this belongs to administrative interpose, administrative interpose is short-term inside effective fruit, but building dish always want to sell, this can temporarily control, once this kind of administration intervenes the method is unlocked, still can return to direction of dominant of supply demand relations.
From the point of level of eye anteroom price, resemble Beijing such city, all adjusting control policy did not have ideal effect in front, and " country 5 " the feeling of invalidation having a place, how to do next? What policy can you still give?
Yang Gongxu: I feel policy basically won't go out again, besides house property duty, but house property duty is policy of an only kind, because house property duty is to control demand of investment seize a chance to seek private gain not only, still having is to straighten income of central place finance, be helpful for optimizing the many targets such as finance affairs allocation. Say even if of house property duty is look of the 2nd batch of enlarge so, also cannot calculate doing is adjusting control upgrades.
I think to want to look at 2 o'clock, the a bitth it is external environment it is to conduce to demand dropping in temperature, our economy is lower fan, the 2nd it is the fluidity hasten between the bank is tightened, can make demand is affected certainly. Run mechanism angle from the market, already passed when house price is the maddest, receive go down to need to drop in temperature stage by stage, this needs a course, but government or the supply that notice to add land, because increase,supplying ability is to improve supply and demand, alleviate then owatch casesf house price essential.
The area that at present so the whole nation develops business to take the land first half of the year still is compared to the same period the negative growth of 10% , this is not right, because want,house price lives firmly, want to accelerate rate selling the land, so our local government still should increase land supply. Additional on one hand, should hit corner to cover dish. Force from two respects a land that put an amount, make building dish supply has to increase in future.
The message says today, may conditional to estate company again financing opens a cut, do this also explain the government intensifies production in stimulative estate company?
Yang Gongxu: Still cannot so say, I feel is the element of two respects, look forward to of the first room again financing had stopped 34 years, regard capital as the market, after all still should let it undertake market mechanism will deploy all resource, unlocking this conditionally so have profit. Financing basically is to pass indirect financing before company of development of look forward to of the 2nd room, it is a bank leasehold, fiducial wait, this is helpful for improving, optimize structure of financing of room look forward to. Such word also is helpful for developing discard of enterprise superior bad, battalion has compared big company classics to be able to carry capital market completely again financing, the financing of small company buys sheet without the person, so it prthe best selling north face shirtsomotes whole industry natural resources optimize configuration.
